Sunday, September 28, 2008

Future Increases in Funding for Housing and Community Development Programs in Doubt after Bailout

The final agreement for the largest bailout in US history makes it highly unlikely there will be any significant increases in funding for housing and community development programs in 2009 and beyond. The final cost of the bail out could reach upwards to $1 trillion leaving serious questions about how other critical issues will be funded. These issues include affordable health care, alternative energy, the fight against terrorism, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid reform. According to The Washington Post, in 2011 the Social Security Trust Fund will no longer be an option for Members of Congress to tap into when they need additional funds. That year is when the first wave of baby boomers will retire. Even thought the bailout is expected to be off-budget, significant increases in public funding will probably not be available.

While details of the bailout are still being finalized we do know it does not include funding for the housing trust fund which was part of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2009. That bill was enacted to assist homeowners who are facing foreclosure. Failure to include funding for this initiative is a clear indication that funding for affordable housing and community development programs may be difficult to secure in 2009 and beyond. Given the way the community development block grant (CDBG) and HOME programs are structured, they are more likely to see increases in funding. A case can be made they can stimulate local economies.

Public housing authorities in particular need to change their relationship with the Federal government and more aggressively seek deregulatory flexibility to pursue private capital. It may seem counter intuitive given the financial situation the country finds itself in, but private money will be available for those agencies with strong financials. This fiscal crisis is a result of mortgages issued to families and individuals who could not afford the homes they were buying. Those with good credit and strong financials should find private money available.

All of this comes at potentially a bad time for housing authorities. If Democrats control Congress in significant numbers, there could be efforts to restrict the ability of housing authorities to act in a timely and appropriate manner to meet their agency’s needs. For example, there could include efforts to reinstitute the one-for-one replacement rule which requires one new unit of public housing for every unit demolished. This provision could increase the cost of funding affordable housing initiatives and in some markets, restrict new production due to the cost of land and buildings. Agency efforts to convert public housing units to vouchers will be more difficult as will efforts to expand the Moving to Work (MTW) demonstration. MTW allows an agency to combine housing funds into a program which better suits its local needs. This new design could be in the form of a block, categorical program or both. Community development agencies could face deeper targeting of local resources which could inhibit community and economic development efforts.

Groups representing these agencies need to rethink their strategies. A predominately Democratic Congress will, by and large, not be hospitable to the agencies; they are more likely to be resident friendly. While there may be a token increase in funds, there will also be an increase in regulations negating local flexibility. These groups need to be more aggressive in challenging Congress and the Department in Housing and Urban Development (HUD) in pursuing deregulation.

In order for housing agencies to function in this current environment, the following needs to occur:

- HUD also needs to be restructured in wholesale way. The department’s current structure is outdated and too slow to respond to local needs. It needs to b restructured in a way which allows quick decisions to respond to local markets.
- The CDBG program should be the model for how programs are administered.
- Current staff needs to be revitalized but more importantly new staff needs to be brought in with the understanding of how public-private ventures operate in real time. Local housing and CD agencies, including public housing authorities, need staff at the Federal level with the knowledge, expertise and experience to oversee mixed finance projects in a timely fashion.
- Local agencies need to learn how the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) can be used to assist in the acquisition in private capital.
- Agencies need to pursue increases in the low income housing tax credits (LIHTC).
- Local housing authorities should pursue Medicaid waivers to convert properties to assisted living facilities to meet the needs of their elderly residents.

Magazine Offers White Paper on Housing Policy

Affordable Housing Finance Magazine in conjunction with its advisory board is prepared to present a housing policy white paper to each of the presidential candidates soon. The white paper is summarized in the magazine’s October 2008 issue.

Among the recommendations to be presented to the candidates are:

1. To shift decision-making from the central offices of the Department of Housing and Community Development (HUD) to its field offices;
2. HUD, not the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) should be the lead agency for permanent replacement housing and not emergency housing who people are displaced due to floods, hurricanes and other disasters
3. In disseminating funds from the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2009 to assist state and local government efforts to halt foreclosures, HUD should delegate authority to these entities to ensure quick action is taken before marginally healthy neighborhoods decline too steeply.
4. In reviewing regulations, efforts should be made to ensure energy efficiency is achieved through any changes in regulations.
5. HUD should embrace public/private partnerships versus the current model of program administration and implementation. The Low Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC) is a perfect model according to the magazine.
6. A homeownership tax credit should be created and directed at homebuilders not buyers.
7. More money should be invested in the rural rental housing assistance program.
8. Finally, there should be a national discussion on a variety of topics including infrastructure improvements, integrating housing and health care for the elderly and creating an intersection between housing and transportation.

Interesting Reads

Bailout Plan Gains Key Support
By Henry J. Pulizzi, Corey Boles and Michael R. Crittenden
The Wall Street Journal

MORTGAGE CRISIS
How Fannie -- and You -- Bought a Hapless House

By Joel Achenbach
Washington Post Staff Writer

How the Rescue Affects Homeowners

By Kenneth R. Harney
The Washington Post

Smaller Banks Thrive Out of the Fray of Crisis
People Shift Money From Wall St. to Main St.

By Binyamin Appelbaum
Washington Post Staff Writer

FROM THE ACADEMICS
Away from Wall Street, Economists Question Basis of Paulson's Plan

By Neil Irwin and Cecilia Kang
Washington Post Staff Writers

A Bailout We Don't Need

By James K. Galbraith
The Washington Post

Affordable-Housing Goals Scaled Back
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac to Provide Less Support Than in Years Past

By Zachary A. Goldfarb
Washington Post Staff Writer

Sunday, September 14, 2008

Housing, Community Development Programs Spared by Fannie, Freddie Bailout Decision

The takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac includes a decision to fund the bail out off budget. This means funding for the bail out will not be subject to congressional budget rules requiring off sets for every dollar spent. This provides some assurances that no cuts will occur to housing and community development programs as offsets to fund the bail out.

A potential casualty to the bail out; however, could be the housing trust fund which was part of the bill passed this summer to forestall the mortgage crisis. Funding for the trust fund was based on profits generated from the profits from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. A condition of the Federal take over ensures that the Federal government is the primary beneficiary of any profits generated by both entities. Therefore, shareholders are at the back of the line of any efforts to recoup losses from the devalued stock of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Even with assurances that the Federal government is the primary beneficiary of future profits there are no guarantees any of those profits will be directed to the trust fund. This could be a major blow to advocates of the trust fund who worked so hard for years to get the initiative enacted into law. Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA), chair of the House Financial Services Committee, has indicated a commitment to provide resources for the trust fund but it may take years before those funds materialize.

The take over is the right move for the government to do at this time. It will help stabilize the market, keep interest rates low and hopefully result in fairly reasonable affordable housing goals for each entity. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's inability to establish clear affordable housing goals has been contentious over the years.

The biggest losers in this takeover are shareholders of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stock. According to The Washington Post, Fannie Mae’s stock fell from a 52 week high of $68.60 to 73 cents a share. Freddie Mac’s stock fell from a 52 week high of $65.88 to 88 cents. While staff has been assured their positions and salaries are secure at this time, many have probably seen their retirement fund or college savings eliminated.

Group Publishes a Fiscal Guide for Voters

The US Budget Watch has releases a report, Promises, Promises: A Fiscal Voter Guide to the 2008 Election provides a summary of the policy initiatives proposed by presidential candidates John McCain and Barack Obama. The report summarizes their policy proposals and provides a fiscal estimate of their costs and impact on the Federal budget. The report is part of an initiative by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. The committee is a bipartisan, non-profit organization committed to educating the public about issues that have significant fiscal policy impact.

Interesting Reads

U.S. Seizes Mortgage Giants
Government Ousts CEOs of Fannie, Freddie;
Promises Up to $200 Billion in Capital

By James R. Hagerty, Ruth Simon and Damian Paletta
The Wall Street Journal

What the Takeover Means for Your Mortgage

The Washington Post

Housing market not out of the woods — yet
Fannie, Freddie takeover stops the bleeding, but recovery will be slow

ANALYSIS
By John W. Schoen
Senior producer
MSNBC

Mortgage Giants’ Future: Rebuild or Teardown?

By Stephen Labaton and Edmund L. Andrews
The New York Times

Where Was Sen. Dodd?
Playing the Blame Game On Fannie and Freddie

By Al Hubbard and Noam Neusner
The Washington Post

Mortgage Giants' Mess Falls to Their Regulator
By David S hilzenrath and Zachery A. Goldfarb
Washington Post Staff Writers

How Washington Failed to Rein In Fannie, Freddie
As Profits Grew, Firms Used Their Power to Mask Peril

By Binyamin Appelbaum, Carol D. Leonnin and David S. Hilzenrath
Washington Post Staff Writers

Editorial
Bailout Hide and Seek

Sunday, September 7, 2008

Thoughts from the Republican and Democratic Conventions

Here are some random observations after watching portions of the Republican and Democratic conventions.

  • John McCain’s selection of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin was stroke of genius. It fired up his base, added interest and intrigue to his campaign and demonstrated his willingness to follow his gut and gamble. We will wait to see if it pays off.
  • Unfortunately, that willingness to gamble is not a trait I admire in my president. Relying on gut instincts to make decisions is okay at times but when it occurs too often it is a sign of an individual who believes too much in his own counsel. .
  • Sarah Palin could be the first female president of the United States. If she ran against Hillary Clinton, she will win. She will get the working class voters Clinton stole from Barack Obama and will get a good portion of the female vote which might not normally vote for a Republican but will vote against Hillary.
  • The vicious attacks against Palin’s daughter once her pregnancy was announced were vicious and unnecessary. Obama deserves much credit for immediately denouncing them. Hopefully, this will shed light on the need to more aggressively address this issue.
  • I also hope this will put to rest any notion that a poor family with a pregnant teenage daughter is a reflection of the parent’s unfitness. Oftentimes media types and “experts” are quick to attack minority parents for the actions of their children. This illustrates it can happen in any family, regardless of race, income and social standing.
  • McCain’s speech was dull except for those poignant points about this captivity but he did nothing to dispel the notion this is Palin’s Republican Party not his.
  • Giuliani’s sarcastic denunciation of Obama’s community organizing experience reminded me of the disdain Republicans tend to have for efforts to help poor people gain services and become fully vested into society. They were cheap shots directed at thousands of unsung heroes who help make this country respond to the needs of the disenfranchised.
  • Palin’s experience makes questions about Obama’s experience moot regardless of position on ticket. When you conduct a job interview you look both at whether the applicant has met the criteria of the position and the potential that person offers. Obama has met the basic criteria to be president: US citizen and at least 35 years old. Until more detailed criteria are developed the question of experience is moot. Experience can mean different things to different people. Just listen to the conservatives extol Palin’s executive experience. All that matters is who voting public believes can lead us over the next four years.
  • Republicans will keep Palin away from the press as long as possible to prevent exposure of her shortcomings. Once they have her properly prepared they will likely be selective about what programs she participates in. That is why they are attacking the “elite” media.
  • Obama should win but it will be close.
  • Hopefully the Palin selection will create better environments and equal pay for equal work for working women.
  • Obama delivered a great speech in Denver but now must do the retail “press the flesh” stuff to win.
  • Neither Obama nor McCain have an economic policy which will help get the country out of this mess.
  • Biden gave a good measured speech and will be good on the road for Obama.
  • Both Clinton’s did a great job in delivering their speeches.
  • Looking at the mostly white crowd at the convention it reminded me of how far we still have to go before any racial harmony can be achieved.
Housing Crisis Affecting Wealth Retention

The housing crisis caused a loss in family wealth which will result in more families with greater dependence on the Social Security and Medicaid programs to live in retirement. This is the finding of a report, The Impact on the Housing Crash on Family Wealth released by the Center for Economic and Policy Research.

The report’s finding is based on data derived from the 2004 Survey of Consumer Finance. The data indicated the sharpest decline in family wealth occurred in younger families in the 35-44 year old age range. Their wealth declined by 63.2 percent from 2004. Those in the 45-54 year old age range saw their wealth decline by 34.6 percent since 2004 while those in the 55-64 age range saw their wealth decline by 43.1 percent.

For most Americans, their wealth is attached to the value of their homes. Any housing crisis will have an immediate and significant impact on a family’s wealth. According to the report, the decline in housing process has resulted in more than $4 trillion in real housing wealth which is an average of $50,000 per homeowner.

Older workers nearing retirement are likely to have inadequate retirement savings creating a greater dependence on Social Security and Medicaid. The report also calls for the Federal Reserve Board to be more aggressive in reacting to bubbles in the housing market.

Interesting Reads

Housing

Loan Giant Overstated the Size of Its Capital Base
By Gretchen Morgenson and Chalres Duhigg
The New York Times

Mortgage Giants Agreeable to Rescue Plan, but Its Cost Is Unknown

By Edmund L. Andrews and Stephen Labaton
The New York Times

U.S. Announces Takeover of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac
Embattled Mortgage Firms in 'Conservatorship'; Treasury Plans Securities Buyback

By Neil Irwin and Zachery A. Goldfarb
Washington Post Staff Writers

Mortgage mess puts more banks at risk
Deposit insurance fund, depleted by failures, looks to rebuild capital

By John W. Schoen, Senior Producer, MSNBC

The Credit Crunch Cuts Deeper and Wider
Despite lofty commodity prices and signs of inflation, tight credit continues to torment investors and economists. Can U.S. exports save the day?

By Ben Steverman, Businessweek

Home Prices Continued to Decline in June
By Michael M. Grynbaum, New York Times

Home prices drop by a record amount
But slowdown in price decline seen as possible silver lining

Associated Press

Reinventing the Mobile Home in a Changing Market

By Sandhya Somashekhar, Washington Post

International

British mortgage approvals plunge by 65%
By Miles Costello, Times of London

Campaign 2008

Opinion
What 'culture war'?
At the conventions, they'll try to stir up red-blue divisions. But most Americans hold un-partisan views.

By Dick Meyer, Los Angeles Times

Obama Signaled Early That He Was Unlikely To Choose Ex-Rival

By Anne E. Komblut, Washington Post Staff Writer

The Racism Excuse
The Wall Street Journal Editorial

Sunday, August 24, 2008

Canada Host Meeting of Housing Professionals

The Canadian Housing and Renewal Association (CHRA) is hosting a gathering of housing and community development professionals, academics, policy experts and government officials from the United Kingdom and the United States to discuss ideas and experiences on common housing and community development issues.

Dubbed the Tri-Country Conference, the bi-annual event is an invitation only forum where 25 representatives from the CHRA, the National Association of Housing and Redevelopment Officials (NAHRO) from the United States and the Charter Institute of Housing (CIH) from the United Kingdom which allows individuals to discuss pressing issues facing housing and community development professionals in each country. This year’s conference will be held in Toronto October 15-17.

This year’s theme, “Creating a Modern Housing Policy: A Legacy for Tomorrow’s Leaders, will explore the demographic changes taking place in each country and the political and economic uncertainty affordable housing is experiencing in each country.
For the first time, the conference will include a one-day symposium on October 14 which is open to any one interested in attending. Dr. Anne Golden, President and CEO of the Conference Board of Canada, and Michael Geller, President of Michael Geller & Associates Limited, are the featured speakers of the one-day event.

The one day symposium will include a discussion on the state of housing in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada and New England. An afternoon session will follow which will explore how professionals can affect policy in their respective country to meet future housing needs and create greater opportunities for the populations in need. The symposium sessions will end with small group discussions.

The conference itself will include sessions which will explore issues such as the following:

• How governments have been able to engage other sectors of a community in building and managing affordable housing;

• How to engage youth into leadership positions in the housing profession;

• How innovative policy and financial tools can influence housing policy in a positive way; and,

• How to take what as been discussed and move forward.

The event will also feature various tours to various sites in Toronto which reflect the discussions and conference theme.

San Buenaventura Housing Authority Receives Standard and Poors Rating

Standard and Poor’s Ratings Service recently assigned an “A” issuer credit rating (ICR) to the Housing Authority of the City of San Buenaventura in California.

The rating reflects S&P’s analysis of the agency’s strong operational performance, portfolio quality and financial management. The Housing Authority has 1,189 housing choice vouchers, 716 conventional public housing units and 59 non-public housing units.

The agency’s overall strengths included:

  • A strong overall management and strategic plan which supports the agency’s mission;
  • Strong support from the city government and other local stakeholders;
  • The housing authority has strong portfolio quality which blends well within its market;
  • There is a strong need for the authority’s services as evidenced by a waiting list of more than 3,500 families for public housing units and housing choice vouchers;
  • Implementation of new business strategies which will increase opportunities for the housing authority; and,
  • Low debt obligations.
For additional information, contact Valerie White at Standard and Poors, 212-438-2078, or Edward L. Moses, Chief Executive Officer of the Housing Authority at 805-648-5008 x 230.

Interesting Reads

Housing and Community Development

Three Years after Hurricane, The Back Up is a Fixture
By Dan Barry, New York Times

From the Ground Up
With bank loans scarcer, a handful of Web sites help borrowers tap individuals for cash
.
By Kim Hart
Washington Post Staff Writer

In Abandoned Homes, the Remnants of a Life
Firm Finds Bittersweet Niche in Cleaning Up After Foreclosures

By Ben Hubbard
Washington Post Staff Writer

Future Uncertain for Fannie, Freddie
Fox Business

U.S. Says Many Apartments Violate Law on Disabled

By Charles V. Bagli, New York Times

Breezy does it: Bloomberg Eyes Green Energy for NYC

By David Seifmen, New York Post

Campaign 2008

Blacks Debate Civil Rights Risk in Obama’s Rise

By Rachel L. Swarns, New York Times

With Vast Agenda, Obama Must Say What Priorities Are

By Mort Kondracke, Roll Call

If Obama Loses Racism is the only reason McCain might beat h
im.
By Jacob Weisberg, Slate

The Hill-Bill Show
They could make the convention in Denver a nightmare for Obama—but here’s why they probably won’t.

By John Heilmann, New York Magazine

How Obama Reconciles Dueling Views on Economy
By David Leonhardt, New York Times Magazine

Obama and McCain both say they want to usher in a new, less divisive brand of politics. Which of them has the better chance? Is bipartisanship still possible?
by Ronald Brownstein, September 2008 Atlantic Monthly

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Sunday, August 17, 2008

Renters Affected by Foreclosure

A recent report by Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies stated the recent foreclosure crisis is affecting the rental market more deeply than has been reported and calls for the purchasing of foreclosed property as one remedy to help increase the supply of affordable housing.

America’s Rental Housing, The Key to a Balanced National Policy was released this year before Congress passed legislation in response to the foreclosure crisis. This legislation includes assistance which provides funds to local governments to purchase property subject to foreclosure. Key points raised in the report include the following:

  • The current mortgage crisis will increase the number of households seeking affordable rental units;
  • The high cost of housing is forcing families to make sacrifices in other areas such as food to make ends meet;
  • Financing for new construction and preservation of rental housing will increase;
  • Many of the neighborhoods affected contain the most vulnerable population;
  • Renters are more diverse today due to increases in the immigrant, minority and elderly populations;
  • The increase in the number of new units is concentrated in areas too expensive for low-income renters to live;
  • State and local governments need to remove barriers to affordable housing such as zoning restrictions, minimum lot sizes and lengthy permitting and approval processes.

The report concludes with a call for comprehensive housing assistance to include things like transportation, child care, and access to quality health care and efforts to ensure low income families can earn decent wages.

"Five Fundamentals Campaign" Launched

The National Law Center on Homelessness & Poverty has developed a tool kit for advocates to use in securing a pledge from candidates seeking public office at levels to support the Five Fundamentals to Prevent and End Homelessness. Joining the law center in this effort is the National Coalition for the Homeless, the National AIDS Housing Coalition, the National Alliance to End Homelessness http://www.endhomelessness.org/ , the National Center on Family Homelessness, and the National Policy and Advocacy Council on Homelessness . The toolkit is not designed to endorse a particular candidate but is to be used to educate those seeking office on the types of policies needed to address homelessness.

Campaign 2008

Within the next few weeks, each presidential candidate will select his running mate. Adding our two cents to the discussion, aviewfromdc believes Sen. Joseph Biden (D-DE) and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is the two best choices for Barack Obama and John McCain respectively. Both men help secure their respective party’s base and in any election a secure base is the foundation to victory. Once the foundation is set, the candidate then builds a coalition around that foundation.

As stated in the media, Biden provides Obama with the foreign policy experience lacking from his dossier. In addition to his appeal to the blue collar and Catholic constituencies, Biden has the perfect junkyard dog personality to take on attacks from Republicans. He can be for Obama what Vice President Dick Cheney has been to President George Bush – a hatchet man when the need for one arises. Yes, Biden tends to stick his foot in his mouth but God bless him. He is a secure enough person he is likely to bring his own ketchup when he does stick his foot in his mouth.

Huckabee helps McCain secure the evangelical base. He is a Baptist minister, clearly a social conservative and one the evangelical community will trust to keep McCain’s feet to the fire. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney has shifted too much on issues such as abortion and gay marriage to be trusted by evangelicals. While there is speculation Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, Virginia Congressman Eric Cantor or South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham have received much attention, it doesn’t strike aviewfromdc each brings enough to the table. McCain has yet to secure his base but Huckabee seems to be the best option to help in this effort.

Interesting reads

2008 Presidential Election

Op-Ed Columnist

The Candidate We Still Don’t Know

By Frank Rich, New York Times


Op-Ed Columnist

How About the Home Front?

By Bob Herbert, New York Times

If Elected ...

Rivals Differ (a Bit) on Financial Market Rules

By Jackie Calmes, New York Times

Election 2008 Latest Polls

Realclearpolitics.com

In a Changing Corner of Pa., a Glimpse of Obama's Age Problem

By Alec MacGillis, Washington Post Staff Writer


Voter Registration Is the New Battleground

By Corey Dade and John D. McKinnon, The Wall Street Journal

The Front-Runner’s Fall

Hillary Clinton’s campaign was undone by a clash of personalities more toxic than anyone imagined. E-mails and memos—published here for the first time—reveal the backstabbing and conflicting strategies that produced an epic meltdown.

by Joshua Green, The Atlantic Monthly


Miscellaneous

A Teachable Moment

By Paul Tough, New York Times Magazine

Minority America

By Joel Kotkin, Newgeography.com


Housing and Community Development


The Debt Trap

Home Equity Frenzy Was a Bank Ad Come True

By Louise Story, New York Times

Cleveland sues banks over foreclosures

‘We have to hold accountable those who are responsible,’ mayor claims

MSNBC


Realty Denial?

Homeowners are optimistic, but the forecasts are bleak.

Daniel McGinn, Newsweek


Overbuilt market creating modern ghost towns

Americans love new construction, but some developments go unfinished

By Jane Hodges, MSNBC contributor

The Predators’ Ball

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have helped defang laws that might have prevented the sub prime mess.

By Michael Hirsh, NEWSWEEK


Editorial

Three Years After Katrina

New York Times published August 11, 2008


Editorial

A Darker Outlook at Fannie and Freddie

New York Times published August 10, 2008

 
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